qualified_trash
10-10 04:14 PM
QT,
May be this is not a prediction thread. But the OP and some others are all about VB in another thread or two. While I personally dont have any issue with it, it just frustates me that people dont understand that VB is not going to do any magic for PD's in 2003 or later. C mon Lets be realistic. After doing all the math in so many threads, Does any one expect that the PD will be some where in the ending of 2003. Hell no. Then why is that we have a Dec Bulletin thread way back? Now some one is gonna come start a Jan prediction thread. Useless. I hate to comment on this but I hope people understand the difference between discussion as you said(which I personally agree) and useless predictions when they can make educated guess and do something else.
I am glad you agree with me that discussion is different from prediction!! As far as the futility of predictions go, I agree with you. the beauty of this thread is in seeing someone (like GCanyMinute) say that their PD is now current. while we commiserate about our condition, it is the ray of hope that keeps all of us sane does it not?
here is to cheering for people who are crossing the finish line :-))
May be this is not a prediction thread. But the OP and some others are all about VB in another thread or two. While I personally dont have any issue with it, it just frustates me that people dont understand that VB is not going to do any magic for PD's in 2003 or later. C mon Lets be realistic. After doing all the math in so many threads, Does any one expect that the PD will be some where in the ending of 2003. Hell no. Then why is that we have a Dec Bulletin thread way back? Now some one is gonna come start a Jan prediction thread. Useless. I hate to comment on this but I hope people understand the difference between discussion as you said(which I personally agree) and useless predictions when they can make educated guess and do something else.
I am glad you agree with me that discussion is different from prediction!! As far as the futility of predictions go, I agree with you. the beauty of this thread is in seeing someone (like GCanyMinute) say that their PD is now current. while we commiserate about our condition, it is the ray of hope that keeps all of us sane does it not?
here is to cheering for people who are crossing the finish line :-))
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bhatt
05-29 12:13 PM
This whole spelling bee thing is the stupidest thing I have ever heard of. By any standards, it is pure and simple torture to subject the kids to memorizing thousands of words and their stupid spellings. And what use is that? Have they never heard of something called SPELL-CHECK in Microsoft Word and other email services ?
Or are they afraid that their kid will go to a job interview and someone might ask them to spell the word that no one on the planet ever uses and is only present in the Oxford Dictionary.
Those who subject their kids to such a regimented, rigorous, scripted childhood are preparing a next generation of work-force that would only know how to follow the orders and accept directions.
85 % of the fortune 500 CEOs are not MBAs. And the other 15% that have an MBA, only 3 of the 15 have done MBA from an IVY LEAGUE school.
What that tells you is that too much education and scholarly childhood increases your job security, in that sense that you will never be unemployed, but it decreases the chances that you will be on the top or you will be a billionaire.
The biggest prize goes NOT TO people who can follow directions and know everything, but who can GIVE directions and get things done.
Absolutely true, It is torturing the kids for the aspirations of the parents to be seen in the national TV and for award.
It is not the poor kids are not getting the award, it is the parent, especially it is the trend with indians.
Or are they afraid that their kid will go to a job interview and someone might ask them to spell the word that no one on the planet ever uses and is only present in the Oxford Dictionary.
Those who subject their kids to such a regimented, rigorous, scripted childhood are preparing a next generation of work-force that would only know how to follow the orders and accept directions.
85 % of the fortune 500 CEOs are not MBAs. And the other 15% that have an MBA, only 3 of the 15 have done MBA from an IVY LEAGUE school.
What that tells you is that too much education and scholarly childhood increases your job security, in that sense that you will never be unemployed, but it decreases the chances that you will be on the top or you will be a billionaire.
The biggest prize goes NOT TO people who can follow directions and know everything, but who can GIVE directions and get things done.
Absolutely true, It is torturing the kids for the aspirations of the parents to be seen in the national TV and for award.
It is not the poor kids are not getting the award, it is the parent, especially it is the trend with indians.
gcnotfiledyet
02-24 06:47 PM
i was thinking...
500000 legal immigrants, even if u assume 4 per family , ONLY 125000 houses can be sold...(even if 50% qualify for a loan.. thats just 62500 houses sold.. last i read..there were millions of homes for sale)
if the average cost of the house is 250000, thats additional 31.25 Billion $ in credit borrowing... where is the money?
Average cost of house nowadays is 200k.
500000 legal immigrants, even if u assume 4 per family , ONLY 125000 houses can be sold...(even if 50% qualify for a loan.. thats just 62500 houses sold.. last i read..there were millions of homes for sale)
if the average cost of the house is 250000, thats additional 31.25 Billion $ in credit borrowing... where is the money?
Average cost of house nowadays is 200k.
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apnair2002
11-10 01:46 PM
http://www.immigration-law.com/
Report indicates that the Lame Duck may pass through the Thanksgiving. However, Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid reported spoke with Majority Leader Bill First, Majority Whip Mitch McConnell, and President Bursh on Wednesday addressing Democrats desire to accomplish 5 (five) legislative items during the lame duck as follows:
Continuing Resolution
Bioterror Legislation
Off-Shore Drill Legislation
Agreement on Nuclear Weapons Proliferation
Popular Tax Cuts Package
Should the Democrats stick to these agenda, the immigration legislation will have to be pushed over to next yeer. For the report, please click here.
Report indicates that the Lame Duck may pass through the Thanksgiving. However, Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid reported spoke with Majority Leader Bill First, Majority Whip Mitch McConnell, and President Bursh on Wednesday addressing Democrats desire to accomplish 5 (five) legislative items during the lame duck as follows:
Continuing Resolution
Bioterror Legislation
Off-Shore Drill Legislation
Agreement on Nuclear Weapons Proliferation
Popular Tax Cuts Package
Should the Democrats stick to these agenda, the immigration legislation will have to be pushed over to next yeer. For the report, please click here.
more...
logiclife
05-29 12:54 PM
I tend to disagrees with your comments, firstly please dont call this a stupid event, as a lot of young students strive to win this competition. In order to lead you have to follow, I have come across some smart ass Indians who love to talk and give directions, but they miss whole chunk of substance in their directions. (I don't mean to target you or disrespect any one else up here).
Your commments on parents motivating their childeren to strive for success in their lives, their is nothing wrong in that, would you rather have them go smoke dope and jerk around to waste their time? I am indian and proud to be, , above all proud that my parents pushed me to excel and do better with the opportunities granted to me.
However it is some desi companies who brought in the trend of lying and faking to get thie ways. But believe me , they dont get much further in their lives. I am glad strict restrictions are imposed on these companies, and the type of consultants they bring on board.
Is it fair that the person doing Masters from this country be put in the same boat as a fresh of boat from India?
Good Luck!
The famous quote is: You can only fool me once!
I would further say, what is the difference between you and anti-immigrants in this matter ? You are saying that certain class of people should be kept out of the job market and you have your reasons. Since you are probably US educated, you want those who are non-US educated out of competition. Do not give me the BS reason that those with non-US education are the only ones that fake their resume. As far as faking the resume goes, or bragging goes, its up to the individual. It could be anyone, including Presidents that fake resumes or pad it with embellishments.
The anti-immigrants are saying that they were born here so those who were not born here should be kept of out the job market to reduce competition (and spur wage inflation, which they would call fair wages, but its really wage inflation, the kind that drowned GM and Chrysler).
Would it not behoove you to say that the decision of who should be hired and who shouldn't be hired must be deferred to the employers and not the Government or any other special interest ? As an employer, are they not the most capable party here to make that decision and evaluate their options ? Shouldn't people who create wealth (employers, businesses) have the prerogative to decide who they want to hire to help them create wealth ?
Your commments on parents motivating their childeren to strive for success in their lives, their is nothing wrong in that, would you rather have them go smoke dope and jerk around to waste their time? I am indian and proud to be, , above all proud that my parents pushed me to excel and do better with the opportunities granted to me.
However it is some desi companies who brought in the trend of lying and faking to get thie ways. But believe me , they dont get much further in their lives. I am glad strict restrictions are imposed on these companies, and the type of consultants they bring on board.
Is it fair that the person doing Masters from this country be put in the same boat as a fresh of boat from India?
Good Luck!
The famous quote is: You can only fool me once!
I would further say, what is the difference between you and anti-immigrants in this matter ? You are saying that certain class of people should be kept out of the job market and you have your reasons. Since you are probably US educated, you want those who are non-US educated out of competition. Do not give me the BS reason that those with non-US education are the only ones that fake their resume. As far as faking the resume goes, or bragging goes, its up to the individual. It could be anyone, including Presidents that fake resumes or pad it with embellishments.
The anti-immigrants are saying that they were born here so those who were not born here should be kept of out the job market to reduce competition (and spur wage inflation, which they would call fair wages, but its really wage inflation, the kind that drowned GM and Chrysler).
Would it not behoove you to say that the decision of who should be hired and who shouldn't be hired must be deferred to the employers and not the Government or any other special interest ? As an employer, are they not the most capable party here to make that decision and evaluate their options ? Shouldn't people who create wealth (employers, businesses) have the prerogative to decide who they want to hire to help them create wealth ?
ragz4u
04-26 10:33 AM
Fantastic Job folks.
At the same time, please consider contributing too. We have a target of 150K by May 1st but are way off target. Please chip in to this community effort!
At the same time, please consider contributing too. We have a target of 150K by May 1st but are way off target. Please chip in to this community effort!
more...
gc_on_demand
06-12 12:12 PM
This is my thought process (also referred by Ron G):
July 2007 brought in approximately 500K 485 cases.
We do not know how many cases were pending as of June 2007.
Fiscal year 2007-2008 USCIS used over 140K EB VISA numbers (I think it was around 155K).
Fiscal year 2008-2009 USCIS will use atleast 140K EB VISA numbers
so, 500K - 300K = 200K.
Assuming USICS approval rate is 85%; 75K of 500K are denied.
200K - 75K = 125K EB cases pending from the July 2007 cases.
Additions: from all current categories - may be 25 K in 2 years?
So, 150 K plus whatever that was pending as of June 2007.
So next fiscal year, 2009 if USCIS uses the quota 140 K, most or all of the 2007 filings will be cleared. If not EB3 I, definitely EB2 I and C, EB3 ROW will be cleared.
Depending on new filings, EB3 I might retrogress but retrogression might come within 3-4 years instead of current 8 years.
I strongly believe, beginning Jan 2010, dates for EB2 (I and C) will move forward heaps and bounds followed by EB3 ROW.
As per replies to senator from USCIS
EB2 india has 50k and Eb3 india has 70k apps. See last 10 years with horizontal or vertical fall none get more than 15k in a given year.
If they do get same spill over then Eb2 india needs 3 years and Eb3 india needs 4 years after Eb2 get clear. OR USCIS stop receiving app from any one for next 1 and half year and then start accepting agian. ( Which is not possible as per law ).
So bottom line is
Either Recapture or removing counrty cap will end current backlog , both will end current as well future backlog and none will make situation worse if more demand from ROW.
July 2007 brought in approximately 500K 485 cases.
We do not know how many cases were pending as of June 2007.
Fiscal year 2007-2008 USCIS used over 140K EB VISA numbers (I think it was around 155K).
Fiscal year 2008-2009 USCIS will use atleast 140K EB VISA numbers
so, 500K - 300K = 200K.
Assuming USICS approval rate is 85%; 75K of 500K are denied.
200K - 75K = 125K EB cases pending from the July 2007 cases.
Additions: from all current categories - may be 25 K in 2 years?
So, 150 K plus whatever that was pending as of June 2007.
So next fiscal year, 2009 if USCIS uses the quota 140 K, most or all of the 2007 filings will be cleared. If not EB3 I, definitely EB2 I and C, EB3 ROW will be cleared.
Depending on new filings, EB3 I might retrogress but retrogression might come within 3-4 years instead of current 8 years.
I strongly believe, beginning Jan 2010, dates for EB2 (I and C) will move forward heaps and bounds followed by EB3 ROW.
As per replies to senator from USCIS
EB2 india has 50k and Eb3 india has 70k apps. See last 10 years with horizontal or vertical fall none get more than 15k in a given year.
If they do get same spill over then Eb2 india needs 3 years and Eb3 india needs 4 years after Eb2 get clear. OR USCIS stop receiving app from any one for next 1 and half year and then start accepting agian. ( Which is not possible as per law ).
So bottom line is
Either Recapture or removing counrty cap will end current backlog , both will end current as well future backlog and none will make situation worse if more demand from ROW.
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kevin08
03-26 03:23 PM
"Retrogression" is the word for the rest of the year for EB3 (I). Learn it, Leave it (eat it, sleep it, drink it - whichever way you want it).
How about Dec. 2000 EB3-I for incoming bulletin? Then "Retrogression at will" as we move forward for the rest of the year. Now don't ask me how because anything is possible with (fill in the blanks).
How about Dec. 2000 EB3-I for incoming bulletin? Then "Retrogression at will" as we move forward for the rest of the year. Now don't ask me how because anything is possible with (fill in the blanks).
more...
shreekhand
10-03 11:07 AM
This rule of having at least one parent Indian citizen is in existence since atleast 2006. Just search around. I also know this as one of my close friend's OCI application was his kid was rejected based on this rule more than a couple of years ago !
You are correct. The rules must have changed recently. I wonder what made them make that change, Now children of US citizens (who were once Indian citizens) have an advantage over children who has both parents as Indian citizens. Weird.. isn't it?
You are correct. The rules must have changed recently. I wonder what made them make that change, Now children of US citizens (who were once Indian citizens) have an advantage over children who has both parents as Indian citizens. Weird.. isn't it?
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crazyghoda
01-15 12:44 AM
Crazy,
I am with you. I ugree with you.
I have been vaiting for nearly 6 ears now to get my GC and I vill have no issue to ubandon it and re-apply in this kategory. What an apportunity.
Thanks for your precious vote of confidence :D and your endorsement of my logic.
You've been waiting 6 years .... How about 6 more? If this thing passes in a similar form, would you rather again re-apply in a current category (that will not retrogress) or wait in your own (Eb2-Eb3) category for another 6 years (since that is probably how long it will take for the USCIS to process your app once the flood gates open)?
Buy the vay how long have you been in Umerica.u jained this forums nearly 1 ear ago, and jast 2 posts. The poynt based cystum is stupid, it gibes independence to upplicants. uver lagic is really grate.
I've been here a looong time, though I started my GC processing only in 2005. I recently got laid off which is why I now have the time to check developments in the immigration world.
Peace out!
I am with you. I ugree with you.
I have been vaiting for nearly 6 ears now to get my GC and I vill have no issue to ubandon it and re-apply in this kategory. What an apportunity.
Thanks for your precious vote of confidence :D and your endorsement of my logic.
You've been waiting 6 years .... How about 6 more? If this thing passes in a similar form, would you rather again re-apply in a current category (that will not retrogress) or wait in your own (Eb2-Eb3) category for another 6 years (since that is probably how long it will take for the USCIS to process your app once the flood gates open)?
Buy the vay how long have you been in Umerica.u jained this forums nearly 1 ear ago, and jast 2 posts. The poynt based cystum is stupid, it gibes independence to upplicants. uver lagic is really grate.
I've been here a looong time, though I started my GC processing only in 2005. I recently got laid off which is why I now have the time to check developments in the immigration world.
Peace out!
more...
admin
04-03 10:40 AM
knnmbd,
Let me also repost what I had posted in reply to your post earlier.
knnmbd,
We have spoken to AILA about this and we're regularly in touch with many other immigration lawyers. As logiclife had pointed out the interest of AILA is elsewhere. In fact my company's immigration lawyer told us earlier that it is not in the interest of companies to shorten the green card process.
There are only very few broad minded lawyers like Rajeev Khanna, Mathew Oh and Shusterman who support our cause. For after all if we get our GCs quickly, the lawyers will not get money for H-1 extensions, EAD extensions, AP extensions and so on. Moreover if the GC process becomes simple and quick, many people might self petition and cut out the the middleman.
Another thing to note is that, AILA has very little support from Republicans.
Let me also repost what I had posted in reply to your post earlier.
knnmbd,
We have spoken to AILA about this and we're regularly in touch with many other immigration lawyers. As logiclife had pointed out the interest of AILA is elsewhere. In fact my company's immigration lawyer told us earlier that it is not in the interest of companies to shorten the green card process.
There are only very few broad minded lawyers like Rajeev Khanna, Mathew Oh and Shusterman who support our cause. For after all if we get our GCs quickly, the lawyers will not get money for H-1 extensions, EAD extensions, AP extensions and so on. Moreover if the GC process becomes simple and quick, many people might self petition and cut out the the middleman.
Another thing to note is that, AILA has very little support from Republicans.
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dressking
10-13 10:47 AM
The party was mostly good. I only regret that sometimes, I could not hear what people on the other side of the table were talking about. The room was too dark and not quiet enough. It might have been better if we had a round table.
The most important thing is that we need to come up with an action plan after the meeting. We were not just having fun. We had some serious discussions on various issues.
The most important thing is that we need to come up with an action plan after the meeting. We were not just having fun. We had some serious discussions on various issues.
more...
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amitga
06-03 10:17 AM
Follow the Senate judiciary committee Hearing on this link:
http://judiciary.senate.gov/hearings/hearing.cfm?id=3876
Somebody please post the live updates.
http://judiciary.senate.gov/hearings/hearing.cfm?id=3876
Somebody please post the live updates.
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chris
10-01 08:26 PM
Call 18003755283
1
2
1
enter receipt number
1 (to confirm starts with SRC)
1 (confirm your number and listen status)
3
4
Call should goto the center where your file is pending or getting ready to approve :D
Good luck
What is poj method?
Will you please give me the # to call the IO about namecheck ? Is it TSC or NSC?
I'm looking for TSC though.
Thank you.
1
2
1
enter receipt number
1 (to confirm starts with SRC)
1 (confirm your number and listen status)
3
4
Call should goto the center where your file is pending or getting ready to approve :D
Good luck
What is poj method?
Will you please give me the # to call the IO about namecheck ? Is it TSC or NSC?
I'm looking for TSC though.
Thank you.
more...
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cygent
07-17 08:00 PM
In title you mentioned "los angeles" but you havne't sent to Senators from CA.
Hi aadimanav,
Yes, They are from California. They represent the district I live in. Am I missing something here?
Hi aadimanav,
Yes, They are from California. They represent the district I live in. Am I missing something here?
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theMan
06-14 03:29 PM
Even my 140 was filed with CP. My PD was current last month. I filed my 485 (AOS) last week. As per my attorney if CP is specified in your 140, you have 2 options. You can file CP or AOS. You can just file for AOS. No need to convert. But AOS is speicifed in your 140 and want to convert to CP. Thank you need to file some form.
Thanks for the update. I received the same answer from my attorney as well.
Thanks for the update. I received the same answer from my attorney as well.
more...
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jkays94
04-26 11:07 AM
Excellent job, great article! Just an observation that it may have helped if the article had also mentioned that IV members also come from several other countries.
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pointlesswait
01-23 12:49 PM
I hope they do that ..
Can i apply for 485..with 140 pending? and then switch to EAD after 6 months?
I will be completing my 9 yrs for H1 in Jan 2010...;)
Allowing people to file for 485, but not giving any GCs may be the plan.
Such a move do not bring much complaints from anti-immi groups. But this move will reduce the noise from people who have not yet filed for 485s. May be after getting EAD all those people will invest more in America.
This is maximum bang for the immigration buck from the USCIS/DOS point of view.
Can i apply for 485..with 140 pending? and then switch to EAD after 6 months?
I will be completing my 9 yrs for H1 in Jan 2010...;)
Allowing people to file for 485, but not giving any GCs may be the plan.
Such a move do not bring much complaints from anti-immi groups. But this move will reduce the noise from people who have not yet filed for 485s. May be after getting EAD all those people will invest more in America.
This is maximum bang for the immigration buck from the USCIS/DOS point of view.
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Ramba
09-05 03:01 PM
Technically, you are right. But on the other hand, it was at a time when one had to wait at the most 6 months for AOS.
But, for people from India, on EB categories, the wait is not months, its in YEARS. So, its irrational to go by whats written there.
On the other hand: I think we must request USCIS to recognize this underlying problem with EB folks that are primarily from India. They must print an exception on the AP for India and exclude the wording "for emergency purpose only". I don't know if USCIS has the discretionary power to amend minor changes.
If AOS takes many years, then keep the non-immigrant visa, so that no need to worry about AP.
But, for people from India, on EB categories, the wait is not months, its in YEARS. So, its irrational to go by whats written there.
On the other hand: I think we must request USCIS to recognize this underlying problem with EB folks that are primarily from India. They must print an exception on the AP for India and exclude the wording "for emergency purpose only". I don't know if USCIS has the discretionary power to amend minor changes.
If AOS takes many years, then keep the non-immigrant visa, so that no need to worry about AP.
god_bless_you
03-01 12:44 PM
I am sending my second contribution by Check today!
Yesterday night I have send around 100 emails to my friends and collegues here in USA regarding the efforts IV is making and helping out ! Some of them are already got their GCs but they know the Pains during this process.,
I requested all of them to pass information to other immigrants friends!!
Yesterday night I have send around 100 emails to my friends and collegues here in USA regarding the efforts IV is making and helping out ! Some of them are already got their GCs but they know the Pains during this process.,
I requested all of them to pass information to other immigrants friends!!
punjabi
03-09 11:39 AM
How disappointing!
Visa Bulletin For April 2011 (http://travel.state.gov/visa/bulletin/bulletin_5368.html)
EMPLOYMENT-BASED PREFERENCES
...
...
Further retrogressions cannot be ruled out should demand continue at the current levels for some categories and countries.
Visa Bulletin For April 2011 (http://travel.state.gov/visa/bulletin/bulletin_5368.html)
EMPLOYMENT-BASED PREFERENCES
...
...
Further retrogressions cannot be ruled out should demand continue at the current levels for some categories and countries.
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